Bitcoin Not a Security – Nick Johnson

Bitcoin Not a Security

Reasons Why SEC Chief Says Bitcoin Not a Security

For years, we’ve been thinking about how (and if) the Securities and Exchange Commission would regulate bitcoin. Yesterday, we almost got our answer when SEC Chairman Jay Clayton drew a line in the sand between bitcoin and initial coin offerings (ICOs). And it was mostly good news.

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“Cryptocurrencies – these are replacements for sovereign currencies,” Clayton said on CNBC. “They replace the dollar, the yen, the euro with bitcoin. That type of currency is not a security.”

Bitcoin and Cryptocurrencies

 

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Clayton’s declaration that bitcoin (and other cryptocurrencies like it) are notsecurities is huge news. It’s what we’ve been hoping for. It means that the SEC will not be involved in regulating the purchasing or trading of bitcoin. That’s a big win for investors. It also means that other cryptocurrencies that have not had ICOs should be safe too. The SEC will view them as replacements of sovereign currencies.

Existing exchanges like Coinbase and Bittrex won’t have to comply with SEC regulations for trading bitcoin – which would have been an expensive proposition. That keeps costs for investors down, which is always a good thing. Bitcoin Ethereum Market Analysis Report 12 June 2018

And in escaping SEC regulation, there’s more room and space for people and companies to innovate in bitcoin and altcoins that skipped the ICO route.

The future of coins that had ICOs, however, is a little less clear.



“Let me turn to what is a security,” Clayton said on CNBC. “A token, a digital asset where I give you my money and you go off and make a venture – you have some company you want to start… and in return for me giving you my money, you (are given) a return or you can get a return in the secondary market by selling your token to somebody, that is a security, and we regulate that. We regulate the offering of that security and we regulate the trading of that security. That’s our job and we’ve been doing it for a long time.”

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That means a coin like Ethereum, which had an ICO, is likely to be considered a security under this line of thinking. We don’t know exactly how this will play out for now, but I don’t think they’ll do anything that would seriously harm most of these innovative projects.

Clayton did leave himself an out for Ethereum and other coins that had ICOs but are so decentralized now that they don’t meet the conventional definition of a security.

“That’s a question that is out there and will be answered in the specific facts and circumstances,” Clayton said when asked about the possibility of removing the security designation from coins that offered an ICO.

That cracks the door open for Ethereum and other coins like it. But avoiding SEC regulation is far from a sure thing.

We should note at this point that while Clayton’s announcement is huge news, it only “represents” policy. The SEC didn’t issue an official written guidance or adopt a rule about bitcoin. Instead, it declared policy on TV. In the realm of politics, that sort of announcement is more than a trial balloon, but less than policy written in stone.

Clayton has decided what he wants the policy to be, but has left room to change his mind if people don’t like the idea. The Current Price TDC Token $1.45 20th phase

So far crypto markets have reacted mostly positively to Clayton’s comments. Bitcoin and Ethereum are up slightly over the last 24 hours. This is a good sign.

It tells us that, by this point, crypto investors have already factored in the possibility of government intervention as being extremely likely. (This is why we’ve been discussing this topic for months.)

See also  Crypto Market Update (15 April 2019)

Our portfolio should weather any coming regulatory storms well. Many of our picks – like bitcoin – did not have an ICO at all, so they will almost certainly not be classified as securities.

Others could be classified as securities in the future, but I strongly suspect that the SEC will go easy on cryptos that are well-intentioned projects and didn’t involve fraud. There is simply too much innovation happening for the government to abruptly stamp it out. It would cause a huge backlash.

btc-updates-2018

Just today Coinbase announced that it is in the process of obtaining a license to trade “blockchain-based securities.” I suspect that Ethereum will fall under this category eventually (as will many other cryptos). That’s not necessarily a bad thing. It could be very good, in fact, if it clarifies all the regulatory uncertainty and clears the path for further institutional investment.

We’re keeping a close eye on this and will update you as the situation develops. For now, I simply recommend continuing to hold strong.



So why did Clayton decide to announce something on CNBC this week? This is speculation, but here are three possibilities:

  1. With the Department of Justice investigating schemes to influence the price of bitcoin, the government needed a single definition of what bitcoin is, and the CFTC’s commodity definition won.
  2. The SEC is getting closer to approving a bitcoin ETF, and this is a precursor to that decision.
  3. With Goldman Sachs, Signature Bank and other banks moving into bitcoin, Clayton decided to do his friends a favor and calm the markets regarding bitcoin.
See also  Cryptocurrency Market Analysis 25 June 2018

It wouldn’t surprise us if it was a combination of all three of these reasons that led to the announcement.

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In the end, it might not matter why Clayton announced this on CNBC. As long as this remains official SEC policy, it’s good news for bitcoin – and for the people and institutions that want to invest in it. And that’s what really matters.

Good investing,

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Nick Johnson CEO ADSCASH

Updated: June 13, 2018 — 4:00 am

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